Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LPT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-25 1.574823 1.888664 2.241898 2.667885 3.166598 3.730840 4.416426
2026-02-01 1.062942 1.439281 1.910243 2.538827 3.351170 4.360445 5.703534
2026-02-08 0.799048 1.196646 1.739473 2.525783 3.624832 5.093770 7.190122
2026-02-15 0.629943 1.029374 1.616965 2.529123 3.890163 5.821868 8.739865
2026-02-22 0.502153 0.887921 1.494703 2.496230 4.078572 6.444174 10.195973
2026-03-01 0.389286 0.742128 1.333387 2.366909 4.088502 6.787731 11.262207
2026-03-08 0.320046 0.653405 1.244907 2.333301 4.233261 7.339209 12.690069
2026-03-15 0.268569 0.584815 1.176743 2.318881 4.400163 7.934246 14.238216
2026-03-22 0.245837 0.566250 1.194368 2.456763 4.842908 9.026919 16.711682
2026-03-29 0.218964 0.533290 1.178248 2.527286 5.169523 9.948581 18.976380
2026-04-05 0.199502 0.511956 1.180895 2.632687 5.570532 11.036803 21.629497
2026-04-12 0.173066 0.469090 1.131499 2.624985 5.750158 11.735336 23.637831
2026-04-19 0.143357 0.412473 1.044238 2.528287 5.746891 12.102976 25.093746
2026-04-26 0.118635 0.362392 0.962580 2.430747 5.728638 12.438831 26.522007
2026-05-03 0.103373 0.333493 0.925127 2.426095 5.905062 13.174091 28.792187
2026-05-10 0.090872 0.309161 0.894328 2.431773 6.103535 13.971153 31.254300
2026-05-17 0.078507 0.282024 0.851286 2.400795 6.214271 14.593854 33.412201
2026-05-24 0.064333 0.245367 0.775826 2.276230 6.090503 14.701242 34.499699
2026-05-31 0.055669 0.224078 0.738470 2.243869 6.181836 15.284980 36.650989
2026-06-07 0.048805 0.206973 0.709772 2.229975 6.316208 15.976186 39.093301
2026-06-14 0.046916 0.207244 0.732977 2.363042 6.837082 17.596936 43.730272
2026-06-21 0.043393 0.200462 0.733272 2.431109 7.197720 18.875278 47.692621
2026-06-28 0.040965 0.197301 0.744535 2.532849 7.658653 20.430296 52.408014